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CF40 Research: Three Channels to Expand Domestic Demand. An article published by Guan Wei of China Financial Forty Forum (CF40) pointed out that the expansion of total demand, whether it is to expand consumption or investment demand, should be implemented on credit growth. When credit goes up, residents, enterprises and governments have more money in their pockets, so do expenditures and incomes, as well as profits and investments. At present, there are three main ways to expand credit: first, fiscal policy is exerted and the government borrows money; Second, the monetary policy will exert its strength and reduce the policy interest rate; The third is to stabilize the real estate market, and there can be no further sharp decline. In terms of finance, maintain the intensity of fiscal expenditure in a broad sense, and moderately increase the fiscal deficit to 4% in 2025. In terms of monetary policy, we should take reducing the real interest rate as an important goal, continue to implement "strong interest rate reduction", and timely reduce the interest rate of structural monetary policy tools below the policy interest rate level. In terms of the property market, it will ease the current cash flow pressure faced by real estate enterprises and promote the real estate to stop falling and stabilize from both ends of supply and demand.Market information: Trump's nominee for finance minister, Bertrand Besson, said that Federal Reserve Chairman Powell can complete his remaining term.CF40 Research: Three Channels to Expand Domestic Demand. An article published by Guan Wei of China Financial Forty Forum (CF40) pointed out that the expansion of total demand, whether it is to expand consumption or investment demand, should be implemented on credit growth. When credit goes up, residents, enterprises and governments have more money in their pockets, so do expenditures and incomes, as well as profits and investments. At present, there are three main ways to expand credit: first, fiscal policy is exerted and the government borrows money; Second, the monetary policy will exert its strength and reduce the policy interest rate; The third is to stabilize the real estate market, and there can be no further sharp decline. In terms of finance, maintain the intensity of fiscal expenditure in a broad sense, and moderately increase the fiscal deficit to 4% in 2025. In terms of monetary policy, we should take reducing the real interest rate as an important goal, continue to implement "strong interest rate reduction", and timely reduce the interest rate of structural monetary policy tools below the policy interest rate level. In terms of the property market, it will ease the current cash flow pressure faced by real estate enterprises and promote the real estate to stop falling and stabilize from both ends of supply and demand.

The US dollar index rose more than 0.2%, the Japanese yen once fell below 152, and the NZD fell by 1.1%. On Tuesday (December 10th) in late new york, the ICE dollar index rose by 0.25% to 106.407 points, and then rebounded to 106.040 points at 14:31 Beijing time, and rose to 106.637 points at 23:53. The dollar rose 0.49% against the yen to 151.95 yen, and the intraday trading range was 150.90-152.18 yen. The euro fell 0.27% to 1.0528, the pound rose 0.17% to 1.2772, and the dollar rose 0.54% to 0.8829 against the Swiss franc. Among commodity currencies, the Australian dollar fell by 0.95% against the US dollar, the New Zealand dollar fell by 1.10% against the US dollar, and the US dollar rose by 0.07% against the Canadian dollar.The yield of 2/10-year US Treasury bonds rose by more than 2 basis points. In late new york on Tuesday (December 10th), the yield of US 10-year benchmark treasury bonds rose by 2.32 basis points to 4.2244%, and the intraday trading was in the range of 4.1818%-4.2438%. The yield of two-year US bonds rose by 2.48 basis points to 4.1430%, and intraday trading ranged from 4.1099% to 4.1680%. The yield spread of three-month Treasury bonds /10-year US bonds rose by 3.624 basis points to -16.951 basis points. The yield spread of US bonds in 2002/10 was roughly flat, at +7.546 basis points. The yield of US 10-year inflation-protected treasury bonds (TIPS) fell by 0.90 basis points to 1.9233%.The rapid rise of long-term debt reflects the hot sentiment in the bond market. On December 10th, the transaction interest rate of the 10-year active bond "240011" further dropped to 1.84%, hitting a record low. By the close of the day, treasury bonds futures rose across the board, and the main contract of representative 10-year treasury bonds futures hit a record high. Experts said that the loose expectation of monetary policy and the strong demand for institutional allocation constitute an important supporting factor for the recent bond market to continue to go bullish. But at the same time, as bond prices rise and yields fall, market volatility may also rise. (CSI)

Goldman Sachs: "According to our basic forecast, the tanker freight will drop slightly in the next few years, but if the diversion of tankers in the Red Sea and Russia ends, the tanker freight will further drop by 30%."South Korean President Yin Xiyue prefers to be impeached rather than resigned. (Chosun Ilbo)Market information: US President Biden seeks to veto once and for all the merger of Nippon Steel (Nippon Steel) and American Steel Company (X).